The P.C. leadership race hasn't officially started, but that hasn't stopped the general assumption that the only 'name' to declare any intention to run will be the eventual winner.
Ted Morton is the decided favorite going in, according to the media. The panel discussions are full of politicos giving their 'what if' predictions. A current hot topic is what will happen, if anything, to the Wildrose Alliance if Morton were to be successful.
The field of guesses range from a draining of support from former P.C's/current Wildrose members back to the Tory fold to a merging of the two parties. (the Wildrose Alliance position on that here).
One opinion suggested that the Wildrose would suffer loses of both their more socially-conservative wing and social conservative voters in general, who would see a Morton government as an appealing step to the right.
On the surface, that prediction appears to have some merit. However, one has to remember that rapid rise of the Wildrose Alliance was not propelled by the failures of Ed Stelmach alone. That is but one cyst in an overall cancer that is inhabiting the Legislature.
It is the 'culture of entitlement' mindset held by a group that inherited the power of the government from their predecessors, and their predecessors, dating back to 1971.
It is the arrogance of a stale government suffering from an extended bout of identity vertigo, calling themselves 'conservative' while running up unprecedented deficits and introducing laws that would allow them to seize private land without facing appeals or having to pay compensation.
This is the party that not only exiles members if they dare ask too many questions, but publicly questions their sanity.
This is the government that attempted to sneak through legislation that would give them the power to take your land. You would have no right to appeal, and no right to compensation. I can't see too many rural voters supporting that idea.
This has been, and is, the Progressive Conservative party Ted Morton has been a part of since 2004.
Wildrose party members - including the alleged 'social conservative wing' - know this.
I foresee a migration as well, but not the one expected by the t.v. talking-heads. With a Morton victory, he would most certainly try to move the party to the right. I expect this will make the Wildrose Alliance even more appealing to the large segment of moderate/small 'c' voters in the province.
As well, I wouldn't be shocked to see a subsequent crossing of a few P.C. MLAs to Wildrose seats if my impression is true that Morton would continue the top-down, tow-the-party-line leadership the P.C.s have become known for.
In the long run - and certainly by the time the next election comes around - a P.C. leadership win for Ted Morton would mean an increased chance of electoral victory for the Wildrose Alliance.
"#USGOV"
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